Journal of Liaoning Petrochemical University
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Quadrant Dependent Property for GARCH Model
GENG Gui-zhen, TONG Yi
Abstract370)      PDF (102KB)(249)      
It proves that the absolute value and square sequences of GARCH process are pairwise PQD sequences. The pairwise positive quadrant dependent property of GARCH model was discussed. Some inequalities of sums of GARCH modelwhich are consistent with conditional heteroskedasticity property of GARCH process is obtained. It is reasonable that using the GARCH model to describe the volatility cluster phenomenon of finance time sequences.
2007, 27 (3): 93-95.
The Best Conf idence Interval of Failure Rate Parameters Proportion on Censored Data(Ⅱ):Equivalence of the Best Confidence Interval and UMA U Confidence Interval
GENG Gui -zhen,TONG Yi
Abstract410)      PDF (149KB)(282)      
     The parameter being estimated by using UMAU confidence interval, this method can describe precision by making an interval, which includes the smaller probability of wrong value .That is to say , when the true value of parameter is θ and unequal with θ′, Pθ(θ(X)≤θ′≤θ(X))should be small.The interval length was considered by a more direct method to describe precision, giving the conception of possessing uniformly minimum mean length confidence interval (the best confidence interval).The equivalence of two different confidence intervals was posed by some correlative knowledge .The theory of the best interval estimation is improved , which provides the theory base for application , such as studying about the best confidence interval estimation of failure rate parameters proportion on censored data .
2006, 26 (1): 94-96.